Post by antiger on Dec 4, 2015 0:19:34 GMT
One of the things that I would like to analyze during a war is how the defensive and offensive strength as a whole compares to our enemy clan. My belief is that quantifying attack and defense strengths should give us a good probability for win and also help clan leaders make a decision about who is a better fit to take on a particular enemy. So, as an experiment I want to try and use the excel program that I uploaded in the thread How war match making is done in COC? and tabulate the numbers ans see how it looks.
I have not taken into consideration, WALLS, BOMBS ,TRAPS in defense and SPELLS in attack.
Legend:
HP (Hit Points)- sum total of hit points of all defensive buildings excluding walls
DPS(Damage per second) - Sum total of the damage per second capability of all the defensive buildings
HS - Housing Space or Army Size
CC- Clan castle capacity
Things to watch out for:
1. Their top 3 players, though TH9 have better defense and attack strengths than our top 3, with their no. 3 having the best defense and their no.1 having the best attack
2. Both their no.1 and no.2 have level 2 witches, along with high level golum amd pekka. I predict that they will use A gowipe with witches or a GoWiWi attack.
3. We have a good chance 3 starring 4 down to 10 if we carefully use our second attacks effectively.
You guys can use the excel file for every attack to find your opponents strengths and weaknesses. It will help you better choose the bases you would be successful against.
At my level TH6, I should be able to 3 star a base whose defensive strength is 4 times my attack strength easily. So, as long as my opponents defence is less than 4*2650 = 10,600, it should be an easy 3 star for me. If it is greater than that, then it would depend on my opponents base design and my attack skills . So, in this war, I should be able to comfortably 3 star no.10. My next best chance of 3 starring a base would be no.9.
Defense wise, I don't think both no.9 and no,10 will be able to 3 star my base, which means no.8 would have to use one of his attacks on me
I love the complexity of the math involved in this and would be really interested in predicting the probability of success from here on. Lets see how these pairings turn out once the war is over. Cheers! and Good Luck Clannites!
I have not taken into consideration, WALLS, BOMBS ,TRAPS in defense and SPELLS in attack.
Legend:
HP (Hit Points)- sum total of hit points of all defensive buildings excluding walls
DPS(Damage per second) - Sum total of the damage per second capability of all the defensive buildings
HS - Housing Space or Army Size
CC- Clan castle capacity
Swindonia II | Defense | Attack | Vs | genullnauuhr | Defense | Attack |
Zoidonia(TH10) | 39,095 (30790HP,2173 DPS) | 9501 (220 HS/30CC) | Vs | zertrummerer(TH9) | 40,610 (26995HP,2480DPS) | 11027 (220HS/30CC) |
fhez87(TH10) | 39,518 (30425HP,2148 DPS) | 7924 (220 HS/25CC) | Vs | jesper(TH9) | 39,800 (26,304HP,2212DPS) | 9482 (220HS/30CC) |
Hunter(TH9) | 38,560 (26240HP,2318 DPS) | 8984 (220 HS/30CC) | Vs | totti(TH9) | 41,655 (27,804HP,2555DPS) | 8984 (220HS/30CC) |
line186(TH9) | 30,670 (19260HP,1736DPS) | 7548 (220 HS/30CC) | Vs | HimmelHype1220(TH9) | 39,510 (26104HP,2362DPS) | 5972 (210HS/25CC) |
GamerGreeny(TH8) | 31,120 (18630HP,1697DPS) | 6724 (200 HS/25CC) | Vs | sMaxiMillion$(TH9) | 31,839 (20,754HP,1964DPS) | 6423 (200HS/25CC) |
Dave(TH8) | 30,650 (18165HP,1592DPS) | 5846 (200 HS/25CC) | Vs | arni(TH8) | 30,220 (18,304HP,1616DPS) | 6140 (200HS/25CC) |
Jamie Readd(TH8) | 29,106 (18090HP, 1577DPS) | 5928 (200 HS/25CC) | Vs | Temporast(TH8) | 23,812 (16,874HP,1310DPS) | 4440 (200HS/20CC) |
Nighthawk(TH8) | 28,451 (17300HP, 1499DPS) | 5134 (200HS/25CC) | Vs | sarahdefeux(TH8) | 23,558 (16844HP,1240DPS) | 3760 (200HS/20CC) |
Morserr(TH7) | 18,788 (13030HP,972DPS) | 4376 (200HS/20CC) | Vs | Sander(TH7) | 14,574 (10,844HP,678DPS) | 1680 (175HS/15CC) |
antiger | 11,304 (7410HP, 436DPS) | 2650 (150HS/20CC) | Vs | keminem(TH5) | 5,355 (5414HP,294DPS) | 1730 (125HS/15CC) |
Things to watch out for:
1. Their top 3 players, though TH9 have better defense and attack strengths than our top 3, with their no. 3 having the best defense and their no.1 having the best attack
2. Both their no.1 and no.2 have level 2 witches, along with high level golum amd pekka. I predict that they will use A gowipe with witches or a GoWiWi attack.
3. We have a good chance 3 starring 4 down to 10 if we carefully use our second attacks effectively.
You guys can use the excel file for every attack to find your opponents strengths and weaknesses. It will help you better choose the bases you would be successful against.
At my level TH6, I should be able to 3 star a base whose defensive strength is 4 times my attack strength easily. So, as long as my opponents defence is less than 4*2650 = 10,600, it should be an easy 3 star for me. If it is greater than that, then it would depend on my opponents base design and my attack skills . So, in this war, I should be able to comfortably 3 star no.10. My next best chance of 3 starring a base would be no.9.
Defense wise, I don't think both no.9 and no,10 will be able to 3 star my base, which means no.8 would have to use one of his attacks on me
I love the complexity of the math involved in this and would be really interested in predicting the probability of success from here on. Lets see how these pairings turn out once the war is over. Cheers! and Good Luck Clannites!